Severe Weather Scenarios
There are six types of typical severe weather set-ups that meteorologists monitor. Some are specific to certain regions, like the Rockies or the southern Plains.
Elevated Dry-Layer Outbreaks
- Classic pattern for Supercell storms, large hail, and tornadoes
- Common during outbreaks from the Midwest to the southern plains.
- Very high instability usually with a "cap" in place that keeps storms from developing too soon. Allows unstable air to "build up".
- Typically triggered by cold front or other types of "lift" like outflow boundaries from other storms
- Need shear, or change in wind direction and speed with height. This causes the storm rotation and tilted updraft which lets storms last longer.
Dryline storms
- Good for Supercell storms, large hail, and tornadoes
- Common in Kansas, Oklahoma, and Texas
- Very high instability usually with a "cap" in place that keeps storms from developing too soon. Allows unstable air to "build up"
- Triggered by dryline (separates moist air from very dry air).
- Need shear, or change in wind direction and speed with height. This causes the storm rotation and tilted updraft which lets storms last longer.
Inverted V pattern
- Occurs in the southern and central Rockies.
- Causes microbursts and potential wildfire starters.
- Air toward the surface is very dry, but hot weather can trigger storms.
- Dry air causes strong downdrafts and hail.
Northwest Flow Pattern
- Occurs usually in the north (Midwest, plains, Great Lakes, northeast).
- Usually high wind producers.
- Fast moving pattern with changes in wind speed with height.
- Upper-level jetstream helps trigger storms.
Cold-core lows
- Biggest cause of hail and isolated tornadoes in California severe storms.
- Usually hail producers, only isolated tornadoes.
- More common in winter and spring.
- Cold air above and warm air below leads to unstable airmass.
Upslope Thunderstorms
- Causes of major hail damage in Colorado every year.
- Occur commonly in summer and fall along the Rockies from Wyoming to Colorado to New Mexico.
- Typically produce large hail and tornadoes.
















